|
|
|
News
| Economy
| Culture
| Opinion
| Lifestyle
| Nature |
Volume
14, Number 15 |
Read Panama's new immigration regulations (alas, in Spanish only) ![]() Irving Saladino in effigy. Archive photo by Eric Jackson Irving the Kangaroo! He'll
be jumping to qualify on the morning of August 16, and if all goes as
well as expected, for the gold on the 18th. You can bet that a large
percentage of the Panamanian people will have their eyes on their
television sets. The time difference with China isn't very favorable to
Panama's sports bars, but I would imagine that several of them will
sell more coffee than they ever have.
Definitely Panama's athletes don't deserve the scandals, uncertainties and lack of support which has been their lot at the hands of the Olympic Committee of Panama (COP). Now the chances appear excellent that despite everything Panama will win its first Olympic medal since 1948 --- in fact, long jumper Irving "El Canguro" Saladino, celebrated above in the form of a New Year's muñeco, is favored to win the gold --- and if he does there will be disreputable politicians eager to claim the victory as their own. However, everyone knows the score: all credit belongs to the athletes, and any politician or COP dignitary who pretends otherwise ought to be booed off the field and out of public life. And however Saladino and the others do, when they come back the nation really ought to take up the subject of sports reform. Maybe some of our Olympians and other fine athletes, active and retired, should lead the discussion. *
* *
Then there are some of us who follow other sports, other pastimes or other passions. Me? As these words are written I'm flashing back and forth to the MLB Game Channel, agonizing over my beloved Detroit Tigers getting hammered again --- but wait! Cabrera just hit the ball over the center field fence! (More or less where I used to study law, before they sold Detroit College of Law to Michigan State University and tore down the old school to make way for the new stadium.) There is an early political season here in Panama, and in the USA the vice presidential nominations and conventions are almost upon us, and thereafter we will have the sprint from Labor Day to Election Day. Although I was a Tiger fan way before I first stuffed envelopes for the Democratic Party, and was a veteran of many US campaigns before I ever took sides in an election in my native Panama, both of these election seasons have me engrossed. Let's look at pieces of them one at a time. *
* *
The Panama News is and has been from time to time providing space to the various contenders in both the US and Panamanian elections in the opinion pages. In this issue's opinion section, Barack Obama talks about energy policy and John McCain talks to Americans with disabilities. Quite frankly, I don't think that Obama addresses the full enormity of the US energy problem. It's easy to dismiss Senator McCain's routine about how more offshore drilling is going to save the American Way of Life as we know it because it is, after all, completely ridiculous. But the United States has for many decades laid itself out geographically on the presumption of cheap fuel, and the commuter lifestyle itself is one of the things that has to end for Americans to get out of the deep economic hole caused in large part by making the wrong bets on energy. And while high food prices are not destabilizing American society the way they are here in Panama, at a certain point Democrats and Republicans alike are going to have to realize that subsidizing the conversion of the Midwestern corn crop into ethanol is neither a wise nor a sustainable policy. The necessary steps will surely be traumatic to many entrenched interest groups, but a good energy policy should on the other hand create a lot of jobs for the reconstruction and retooling that will be needed. Think about the most expensive sailing yachts you see coming through Panama, and how they have these modern conveniences that are run by little windmills or photovoltaic cells --- things that run on less energy and renewable sources are the directions in which to move. And quite frankly, although John McCain is probably sincere in what he says to his fellow Americans with disabilities, once they get beyond the identity politics a lot of people with various handicaps and a lot of people who have come back wounded in various ways from Iraq or Afghanistan are going to find a lot of objections to his voting record in the Senate. The Taliban was harboring people who staged major attacks on the United States, making targets of mostly non-combatant civilians in gross violation of the laws of warfare as set down by the Prophet Muhammad as well as those contained in international war. There was really no choice about going to war with the former government of Afghanistan, even if that war is now going badly and it doesn't seem that there is any rational idea of what a successful US end game looks like. The war in Iraq never should have been undertaken and the only way that those who led the country into it can claim success is by constantly changing the goals. (You say that The Surge was a success? Well, maybe if you don't count the massive ethnic cleansing that took place during its course, including the uprooting of ancient Iraqi Christian communities like the Chaldeans, who have been forced to flee their country by the hundreds of thousands.) So one arguably necessary war, one arguably unnecessary one, but in each case George W. Bush tried to do it the cheap way by skimping on the military --- not sending enough troops to do the assigned tasks, not sending enough of the right equipment, not properly staffing and equipping the hospitals that would be needed to take care of the wounded, not setting aside sufficient funds for the benefits that would be owed to the veterans. Actually, it was not just George W. Bush. It was George W. Bush, John McCain et al. The Bush policy of extravagant military adventures paid for by cheating the vets and depleting US military strength is the McCain policy, and I think that a lot of disabled vets will legitimately ask why they should support McCain when they don't get the benefits that he got. The insulting bureaucratic runarounds that so many of them have faced just add up to that much more salt in the wounds. So is that an attractive campaign issue for the Democrats? Not really. It's never a big winner to look for votes by telling the taxpayers that there are huge public debts to pay. That is, however, the reality of the situation. The polls go up and down, but I think that the basic issue of the US election is the economy and that has to favor Obama in November. But whether Obama or McCain ends up in the White House, I expect that the economy will force some very unpopular decisions. *
* *
The outlines of the Panamanian election campaign are emerging, but there's still a lot to know. We know that there will be at least two and probably three opposition presidential candidates and can reasonably expect that as the May election approaches non-PRD voters will gravitate toward the one who appears to have the best chance of winning. On September 7 the PRD will choose its candidates and that choice will go a long way toward determining whether there is any chance at all that they will attract many voters beyond their solidly loyal one-third of the Panamanian electorate. Look at the 1994 and 2004 results and notice that the Panameñistas (formerly known as the Arnulfistas, due to a bit of Electoral Tribunal sleaze during Noriega times, which sanctioned the theft of the traditional party name by an irrelevant little faction) have a loyal base of a little under 20 percent of the voting population. They are the only party other than the PRD that has a mass organization that cuts across lines of social class and geographical region. Panameñista presidential candidate Juan Carlos Varela, who has never held elected or appointed public office, insists that as one of two traditional major parties and as the opposition force with the largest membership, his party must lead the opposition. However, most of the opposition parties are not buying this, especially as Varela is offering them few incentives to join an alliance. So say that Varela holds his hard core and little else, and gets 20 percent, and the PRD --- whether led by Balbina Herrera or Juan Carlos Navarro --- gets a similar result with respect to its size and takes 35 percent. That's 55 percent for these two candidates and 45 percent for someone else, and although Guillermo Endara has a spoiler's potential, in that case the smart money would say that supermarket baron and former Seguro Social director and Minister of Canal Affairs Ricardo Martinelli wins. But any substantial pad on the PRD base means that this will be the party that holds the presidency from 2009 through 2014, and there are conflicting spins here. One theory is that people are sick of the rich white aristocracy and that Balbina would be the "Chola Power" candidate who attracts the humble classes to her cause and beats the three white men. The other theory is that once the need to appeal to the PRD membership in a primary is over, Navarro will be in a position to run as the reasonably competent, reasonably moderate and reasonably honest two-term mayor who really isn't responsible for most of the things that have people mad at the PRD. The mayor's people, after all, did not loot the Ministry of Education --- it was Balbina's entourage that embezzled the Educational Quality and Equity Fund (FECE). Navarro could also distance himself from the strip mines, hydroelectric dams and illegal housing development projects in a way that Balbina never could. Two things, however, now stand in the way of either Balbina or Juan Carlos moving beyond the PRD base. First there's a bad economy, with the worst inflation in more than a generation and the PRD's menagerie of docile labor leaders sidelined by an increasingly belligerent labor movement that's led by people who have had a blood feud with the ruling party since President Torrijos's dad was dictator. Second, the president has chosen this time to come up with some remilitarizing, totalitarian decrees that have already stripped away a bunch of PRD allies and are even beginning to crack the ruling party's unity. (Note that the president's "anti-corruption czarina" Alma Montenegro de Fletcher and national ombudsman Ricardo Vargas have both denounced the president's decrees as unconstitutional.) Balbina was the true Norieguista goon that Navarro never was and that might help her win the primary, but with a decree that lets the government "cease any guarantee or individual liberty" front and center in the national discourse Balbina the Batallonera would surely isolate herself from all but the diehard PRD base. Meanwhile, with Navarro defending the decrees with inane statements about how high crime is a problem brought upon us by anti-PRD governments, and that we had no kidnappings under the dictatorship. (Soon the Inter-American Human Rights Court will issue a ruling on one of those many kidnappings that the mayor doesn't count --- the May 1970 case in which labor activist Heliodoro Portugal was abducted while coming out of the Coca-Cola Cafe in Santa Ana, tortured to death and then buried in the parking lot behind an infantry barracks in Tocumen.) The security decrees have changed the tenor and direction of Panamanian politics, but it remains to be seen how deep or lasting that effect will be. About half of Panamanian voters have no personal memory of the dictatorship, and that younger part of the electorate is what's up for grabs. And this youth factor brought me to the Plaza Paitilla Inn, for a gathering of the Juventud Union Patriotica, the youth group of a rather conservative party allied with Ricardo Martinelli. Are these the young volunteers who are going to sideline the traditional major parties? We shall see. *
* *
Rats! The Tigers
lost. Hope they don't have the Feline Immunodeficiency Virus.
*
* *
Finally,
José
Ponce and I have been out and about to some interesting places this
time: to ATLAPA for the National
Artisans Fair; to the streets of the Casco Viejo for an impromptu percussion concert; to
Santa Ana and an old fashioned pizza place;
checking out the rainclouds at the bus stop;
noticing how the sunlight shines off of a church steeple; and observing
the bizarre chaos on our city streets.
Enjoy. PS: People who are
on The Panama
News email list are notified as new articles are uploaded onto this
website, as the production cycle bears an ever more tenuous
relationship to the stated dates of any particular issue. Send me
an email asking to subscribe if you want to get on the email
list.
News
| Economy
| Culture
| Opinion
| Lifestyle
| Nature Listen to Internet radio as you read The Panama News by clicking onto one of the buttons below. Several of these buttons will get you to places that offer multiple channels. Make
the Executive Hotel your headquarters in Panama City --- http://ww.executivehotel-panama.com
|
||||||||||||||||
|
©
2008 by Eric Jackson email: editor@thepanamanews.com or e_l_jackson_malo@yahoo.com Mailing
address: |
|
|
||||||||||||||